Haycarb

Valuation

Valuation Rs.Million Price per Share (Rs.) Share Adjusted Valuation
DCF Valuation %
Price to Earnings %
Price to Book Value %
Price to Sales %
EV to EBITDA %
Blended Valuation (Rs.)

Period FY21 FY22 FY23 4Q23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
1 Activated Carbon 23,198.0 30,872.1 59,646.8 41,659.6
YoY nan 33.1 93.2 -30.2
2 Environmental Engineering 2,286.6 2,288.3 1,296.4 1,519.6
YoY nan 0.1 -43.3 17.2
3 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
YoY nan nan nan nan
4 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
YoY nan nan nan nan
5 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
YoY nan nan nan nan
Period FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
1 COGS 17,947.7 25,942.7 46,064.4 29,910.4
- As a % of sales 68.2% 76.4% 74.2% 67.2%
2 Administration 2,415.4 3,523.5 5,420.4 5,676.8
- As a % of sales 11.6% 12.4% 10.2% 15.1%
3 Selling & Distribution 219.9 260.6 550.5 367.2
- As a % of sales 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6%
4 Capital Expenditure 969.8 1,677.7 1,646.1 1,811.2
- As a % of sales 3.8% 5.1% 2.7% 4.2%


Fixed Assets - Cost FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24E 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
1 Balance B/F 9,776.0 11,205.9 14,804.3 17,307.0 17,643.6
Capital Expenditure 969.8 1,677.7 1,646.1
Balance C/F 11,205.9 14,804.3 17,307.0 17,643.6
1.1 Depreciation FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Balance B/F 4,604.2 5,469.3 7,550.7 8,781.2 8,609.6
Depreciation charge 560.1 604.6 834.3 881.7
- As a % of sales 2.2% 1.8% 1.4% 2.0%
Balance C/F 5,469.3 7,550.7 8,781.2 8,609.6 111 111 111 111 111
Net Book Value at end 6,424.3 8,895.7 10,214.3 10,838.3
2 Working Capital
Period FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
2.1 Accounts and notes receivables 4,316.4 8,473.5 6,709.9 6,711.3
- As a % of sales 16.9 25.6 11.0 15.5
Four Qtr Cum. Revenue
Four Qtr Cum. COGS
2.2 Inventories 8,621.0 15,807.1 13,986.8 11,506.7
- As a % of COGS 48.0 60.9 30.4 38.5
2.3 Prepayments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
- As a % of sales 0 0 0 0
2.4 Accounts payable 1,886.8 3,398.8 3,703.8 4,203.9
- As a % of COGS 10.5 13.1 8.0 14.1
2.5 Other 3,338.0 8,918.5 5,561.4 2,722.3
- As a % of COGS 0.0 0.0 0.0
Working Capital
Change in Working Capital 3,294.1
3 Interest Bearing Debt FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Opening balance 254.8 679.1 982.6 982.6
Issuance of debt 566.9 507.8 200.0 636.1
Repayment of debt 152.4 272.3 917.3 419.7
Closing balance 679.1 982.6 300.8 509.5
Adjustments 9.8 67.9 35.5
Interest Expenses 22.2 47.2 124.8 164.9
Average Interest rate (%) 475.8 568.1 1944.4 % % 4070.7 % % % % % % % % %
4 Leases FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Lease - Opening balance 141.2 175.9 113.4 292.9 502.5
Additions 82.5 0.0 261.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
Payments 66.8 80.4 71.0 120.2
Closing balance 175.9 113.4 292.9 502.5
Adjustments 2.5 2.1 -20.2 -19.0
Lease Interest expenses 16.4 15.7 9.2 25.3
Average Interest rate (%) 10.3 10.9 4.5 % % 6.4 % % % % % % % % %
5 Interest Income FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
i. Cash & CE Balance C/F 3,117.7 5,072.9 6,722.1
ii. Interest Income 372.8 2,321.0 3,392.7 1,392.8
Average Interest Income Rate 15.9 70.4 65.5 % % 20.6 % % % % % % % % %
6 Tax FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Profit Before Tax 4,490.3 4,656.0 8,258.0 6,113.3
Opening balance 228.4 594.4 377.6
Current Income Tax 923.8 934.8 1,752.5 1,807.6
Taxes paid 555.3 1,010.2 1,976.0 1,575.4 1,807.6
Closing balance 600.5 428.8 645.3 731.4
Effective Tax Rate (%) 0 2010.0 2120.0 % % % % % % % % % % %


Income Statement Notes FY21 FY22 FY23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Combined Revenue 25,484.6 33,160.5 60,943.3 43,179.2
COGS 17,947.7 25,942.7 46,064.4
Gross Profit 7,536.9 7,217.8 14,878.9 13,268.8
Administration Exp. 2,415.4 3,523.5 5,420.4
Selling & Distribution Exp. 219.9 260.6 550.5
Depreciation 560.1 604.6 834.3 881.7
7. Amortisation
Other Operating Expenses 0.0 0.0 0.0 nan
Operating Income 4,435.7 3,079.1 8,274.3 6,521.1
Interest Expenses 324.0 722.7 3,411.4 1,791.9
Interest Income 372.8 2,321.0 3,392.7
Other (Expenses)/Income 5.8 -21.3 2.4 nan
Profit Before Tax 4,490.3 4,656.0 8,258.0 6,113.3
Tax Expenses 923.8 934.8 1,752.5
Profit After Tax 3,566.5 3,721.1 6,505.5
Other 0.0 0.0 0.0 nan
Net Income 3,566.5 3,721.1 6,505.5
Cash Flow Statement Forecast Ref. FY21 FY22 FY23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Profit Before Tax From IS 4,490.3 4,656.0 8,258.0 6,113.3
Depreciation From OA 1.1 560.1 604.6 834.3 881.7
Change in Working Capital From OA 2 -2,610.7 -10,705.9 2,530.9 3,294.1
Income Tax Paid From OA 5 555.3 1,010.2 1,976.0 1,575.4
Other 117.3 3,563.2 394.4 -956.8
Net Cash Flow from / (used in) Operating Activities 2,065.8 -2,814.5 10,122.0 7,876.8
Capital Expenditure From CA 4 969.8 1,677.7 1,646.1 1,811.2
Other 167.3 211.0 334.3 514.6
Cash Flows from Investing Activities -903.9 -1,504.8 -1,619.1 -1,700.6
Borrowings 566.9 507.8 200.0 636.1
Debt Repayments 152.4 917.3 917.3 419.7
10. Lease Additions
Lease Repayments 66.8 71.0 71.0 120.2
Other -1,592.4 -971.4 -2,355.4 -1,870.6
Net Cash flows from / (used in) Financing Activities -1,244.7 -816.3 -3,143.6 -1,774.4
Other 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Increase/(Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents -82.8 -5,135.5 5,359.2 4,401.9
Balance adjustments as per company 4,105.3 10,022.9 6,618.9 3,866.3
Cash and CE at Start -1,686.9 -1,769.7 -6,905.2 -1,546.0 2,855.8
Cash and CE at End -1,769.7 -6,905.2 -1,546.0 2,855.8
Balance Sheet Notes FY21 FY22 FY23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Assets
Property Plant and Equipment - Net Book value From OA 1 6,424.3 8,895.7 10,214.3 10,838.3
2. Right-of-use assets 615.3 590.3 592.8 583.9 579.8 579.8 579.8 579.8 579.8
3. Intangible assets 62.4 132.8 244.2 240.0 240.4 240.4 240.4 240.4 240.4
4. Investment in an associate 233.1 258.5 289.4 347.4 341.2 341.2 341.2 341.2 341.2
5. Other financial assets 163.8 105.9 283.5 490.9 nan nan nan nan nan
6. Deferred income tax assets nan nan nan nan 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other 1,932.7 1,378.9 1,184.7 1,285.2 1,582.4 1,582.4 1,582.4 1,582.4 1,582.4
Non Current Assets 9,431.7 11,362.1 12,808.7 13,785.7
Inventories From OA 2.2 8,621.0 15,807.1 13,986.8 11,506.7
Trade and Other Receivables From OA 2.1 4,316.4 8,473.5 6,709.9 6,711.3
Prepayments From OA 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Amounts due from equity accounted investees 38.1 63.6 101.8 127.2 74.0 74.0 74.0 74.0 74.0
12. Other financial assets 15.2 177.2 104.2 47.9 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4
13. Income tax recoverable 634.8 1,010.8 1,406.9 1,313.4 1,148.5 1,148.5 1,148.5 1,148.5 1,148.5
Cash and Cash Equivalents From CFS 2,335.6 3,117.7 5,072.9 6,722.1
Current Assets 15,961.2 28,650.0 27,382.5 26,428.6
Total Assets 25,392.9 40,012.1 40,191.2
Equities and Liabilities
1. Stated capital 331.8 331.8 331.8 331.8 331.8 331.8 331.8 331.8 331.8
2. Reserves 20,918.8 686.3 686.3 891.3 891.3 891.3 891.3 891.3 891.3 891.3
Retained Earnings 12,383.1 16,845.4 20,918.8 21,682.0
nan nan nan nan nan 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Equity attributable to equity holders of parent
5. Non-controlling interest 1,751.3 2,648.6 3,070.7 2,792.8 2,923.6 2,923.6 2,923.6 2,923.6 2,923.6
Total Equity 15,152.4 20,820.6 25,212.6 25,697.8
Long Term Debt From OA 3 467.6 677.2 140.2 253.7
Financing and Lease Payables From OA 4 175.9 113.4 292.9 502.5
Retirement benefit obligation 858.5 1,143.3 1,230.5 1,737.3 1,811.6 1,811.6 1,811.6 1,811.6 1,811.6
Deferred tax liability 139.5 368.7 136.7 192.2 251.8 251.8 251.8 251.8 251.8
nan nan nan nan nan 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Non Current Liabilities 1,578.2 2,243.1 1,713.6 2,599.7
Current Maturities of Long Term Debt Added to LT debt in the forecast 211.6 211.6 160.6 255.8
Trade Payables From OA 2.4 1,886.8 3,398.8 3,703.8 4,203.9
13. Amounts due to related parties 538.5 547.0 413.9 393.6 573.5 573.5 573.5 573.5 573.5
Income Tax Liabilities From OA 6 600.5 428.8 645.3 731.4
Other Accruals From OA 2.5 0 0 0 0 0
Other 1,256.3 2,186.0 1,635.8 2,379.8 2,416.3 2,416.3 2,416.3 2,416.3 2,416.3
Bank Overdraft 767.4 1,104.4 1,057.5 1,144.0 nan nan nan nan nan
Current Liabilities 8,662.2 16,948.4 13,265.0 11,916.7
Total Equity and Liabilities 25,392.9 40,012.1 40,191.2 40,214.2

DCF Enterprise Value

Period Notes 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24E 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
1. EBIT From FF 6
2. Tax From OA 4
3. Depreciation From OA 1
4. Adjustments User Input
5. Capital Expenditure From CA 4
6. Changes in Working Capital From OA 2
7. Free Cash Flow
8. Terminal Value
9. Total Free Cash Flow
10. Discount factor Calculation
11. Present Value of Free Cash Flows 7*10=11
12. DCF Enterprise Value
13. Net (Debt)/Cash -2,156.0
14. Pension Underfunding From BS
15. Other User input cell
14. Adjustment User Input
15. DCF Valuation - Equity Value
16. Number of Shares 0.0
17. Price per Share (Rs.)

Weighted Average Costs of Capital (WACC)

Symbol User Input Reference Source for Reference
1. Risk Free Rate Rf % 18.8% SL 10yr bond yield
2. Long term cost of debt Kd % 25.0% Weighted avg. int. rate
3. Equity risk premium Rp % 10.0% External Source
4. Beta B % 125.0% CSE
5.Tax Rate t % 30.0% SL tax rate
6. Debt Weighting Wd % 50.0%
7. Equity Weighting We % 50.0%
8. Cost of Equity Ke 1+(3*4)=8 25.0%
9. WACC Dr (6*(2*(1-5)))+(7*8)=9 21.0%
10. Terminal Growth Rate % 5.0%
Notes Price to Earnings Price to Book Value Price to Sales
1. Earnings/Book Value/Sales 25,697.8
2. Adjusted Multiple
3. Valuation (Rs. Millions) 1*2=3
4. Number of Shares (Millions) 0.0 0.0 0.0
5. Price per Share(Rs.)
>
Peer Multiples Notes Price to Earnings Price to Book Value Price to Sales
Average
Adjustment
Adjusted Multiple
Date Research Organisation Recommendation Target Price (Rs.)
0 105.87 0 0

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