|
Fixed Assets - Cost |
|
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
1 |
Balance B/F |
|
10,570.8 |
10,601.9 |
11,380.6 |
0.0 |
11,449.2 |
11,481.4 |
11,520.1 |
|
11,449.2 |
|
|
|
|
11,588.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Capital Expenditure |
|
27.6 |
40.1 |
75.3 |
35.2 |
32.2 |
38.7 |
222 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance C/F |
|
10,601.9 |
11,380.6 |
11,449.2 |
0.0 |
11,481.4 |
11,520.1 |
|
|
11,588.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.1 |
Depreciation |
|
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
|
Balance B/F |
|
1,229.9 |
1,561.3 |
1,892.3 |
0.0 |
2,224.5 |
0.0 |
91.8 |
|
2,224.5 |
|
|
|
|
2,533.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Depreciation charge |
|
340.9 |
337.2 |
339.4 |
81.0 |
89.5 |
91.8 |
|
|
350.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- As a % of sales |
|
61.2% |
26.2% |
16.0% | 12.6% |
13.5% |
9.8% |
|
|
9.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance C/F |
|
1,561.3 |
1,892.3 |
2,224.5 |
81.0 |
2,314.0 |
91.8 |
111 |
111 |
2,533.5 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
|
Net Book Value at end |
|
9,040.6 |
9,488.3 |
9,224.7 |
9,224.7 |
9,168.7 |
9,116.5 |
|
|
9,055.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Interest Bearing Debt |
|
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
|
i. Balance B/F |
|
3,620.6 |
4,048.2 |
4,826.3 |
4,433.2 |
3,984.7 |
3,854.8 |
5,058.2 |
|
3,641.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ii. Borrowings |
|
191.6 |
46.0 |
733.4 |
465.4 |
450.0 |
1,425.0 |
|
|
1,200.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
iii. Repayments |
|
42.5 |
121.4 |
1,918.2 |
1,257.1 |
579.9 |
221.6 |
|
|
1,085.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
iv. Balance C/F |
|
4,048.2 |
4,826.3 |
3,984.7 |
3,641.5 |
3,854.8 |
5,058.2 |
|
|
3,989.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
v. Average Debt balance |
|
278.4 |
853.6 |
343.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
vi. Interest expenses |
|
249.0 |
254.3 |
354.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
546.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
vii. Blended Interest expenses rate |
|
649.3 |
573.2 |
804.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
% |
% |
1370.8 |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
Income Statement |
Notes |
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
1Q24 |
2Q24 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
Combined Revenue |
|
556.9 |
1,288.0 |
2,116.0 |
661.4 |
938.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
COGS |
|
174.3 |
289.8 |
534.8 |
171.3 |
207.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross Profit |
|
382.6 |
998.2 |
1,581.2 |
490.1 |
730.7 |
|
|
2,824.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Administration Exp. |
|
484.8 |
637.3 |
1,101.6 |
356.6 |
381.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Selling & Distribution Exp. |
|
7.4 |
29.2 |
46.0 |
17.4 |
25.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Depreciation |
|
340.9 |
337.2 |
339.4 |
89.5 |
91.8 |
|
|
350.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. Amortisation |
|
|
|
|
|
Other Operating Expenses |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
nan |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Income |
|
-102.9 |
378.5 |
466.6 |
117.2 |
326.4 |
|
|
1,144.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest Expenses |
|
317.8 |
321.8 |
696.7 |
|
|
|
|
885.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest Income |
|
1.9 |
4.4 |
7.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (Expenses)/Income |
|
-62.2 |
-630.3 |
-197.1 |
85.5 |
-69.4 |
|
|
nan |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit Before Tax |
|
-828.5 |
-912.4 |
-765.2 |
-142.6 |
-85.2 |
|
|
9.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax Expenses |
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
3.9 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit After Tax |
|
-830.1 |
-896.0 |
-632.2 |
-146.5 |
-85.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
nan |
|
|
|
|
|
Net Income |
|
-830.1 |
-896.0 |
-632.2 |
-146.5 |
-85.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow Statement |
Forecast Ref. |
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
1Q24 |
2Q24 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
Profit Before Tax |
From IS |
-828.5 |
-912.4 |
-765.2 |
-142.6 |
-85.2 |
|
|
9.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Depreciation |
From OA 1.1 |
340.9 |
337.2 |
339.4 |
89.5 |
91.8 |
|
|
350.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in Working Capital |
From OA 2 |
-5.6 |
-48.0 |
34.3 |
48.8 |
-145.4 |
|
|
-177.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income Tax Paid |
From OA 5 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
291.1 |
788.2 |
308.3 |
-83.2 |
72.0 |
|
|
-98.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Cash Flow from / (used in) Operating Activities
|
|
-195.7 |
170.0 |
-78.1 |
-87.5 |
-66.8 |
|
|
89.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital Expenditure |
From CA 4 |
27.6 |
40.1 |
75.3 |
32.2 |
38.7 |
|
|
186.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
-56.2 |
-17.8 |
168.1 |
1.3 |
-2.3 |
|
|
4.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flows from Investing Activities |
|
-85.5 |
-61.9 |
91.3 |
-30.9 |
-41.1 |
|
|
-181.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings |
|
191.6 |
68.3 |
733.4 |
450.0 |
1,425.0 |
|
|
1,200.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt Repayments |
|
42.5 |
1,918.2 |
1,918.2 |
579.9 |
221.6 |
|
|
1,085.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. Lease Additions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lease Repayments |
|
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
1.6 |
-0.4 |
|
|
2.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
497.9 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
551.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Cash flows from / (used in) Financing Activities
|
|
145.2 |
-63.6 |
-690.7 |
-131.6< |
1,203.8 |
|
|
663.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
|
|
nan |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Increase/(Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents |
|
-136.0 |
44.5 |
-677.6 |
-249.9 |
1,096.0 |
|
|
572.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance adjustments as per company |
|
173.0 |
164.4 |
1,911.6 |
2,116.4 |
1,080.5 |
|
|
1,312.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and CE at Start
|
|
0.0 |
-136.0 |
-1,143.8 |
-1,821.4 |
-2,071.3 |
|
4Q |
-1,821.4 |
|
|
|
|
-1,249.4 |
|
|
|
|
Cash and CE at End
|
|
-136.0 |
-91.5 |
-1,821.4 |
-2,071.3 |
|
|
|
-1,249.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance Sheet |
Notes |
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
1Q24 |
2Q24 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Plant and Equipment - Net Book value |
From OA 1 |
9,040.6 |
9,488.3 |
9,224.7 |
9,168.7 |
9,116.5 |
|
|
9,055.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. Right-of-use assets |
|
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
0.0 |
0.0 |
nan |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3. Intangible assets |
|
nan |
nan |
nan |
54.5 |
53.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
nan |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4. Investment in an associate |
|
581.4 |
578.2 |
576.9 |
576.6 |
576.3 |
575.5 |
575.5 |
575.7 |
575.5 |
575.5 |
575.5 |
575.5 |
575.5 |
575.5 |
575.5 |
575.5 |
575.5 |
5. Other financial assets |
|
72.3 |
58.4 |
55.6 |
54.5 |
53.4 |
50.4 |
50.4 |
51.2 |
50.4 |
50.4 |
50.4 |
50.4 |
50.4 |
50.4 |
50.4 |
50.4 |
50.4 |
6. Deferred income tax assets |
|
15.8 |
49.9 |
149.0 |
149.0 |
149.0 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
218.7 |
Other Investments |
|
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
Non Current Assets |
|
9,711.1 |
10,175.8 |
10,007.5 |
10,004.4 |
9,950.0 |
|
|
9,902.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Inventories |
From OA 2.2 |
42.2 |
60.6 |
96.7 |
102.3 |
106.6 |
|
|
109.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trade and Other Receivables |
From OA 2.1 |
67.1 |
175.0 |
203.2 |
235.9 |
364.3 |
|
|
494.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prepayments |
From OA 2.3 |
14.3 |
19.2 |
21.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
20.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income Tax Receivable |
|
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
12. Other financial assets |
|
60.0 |
132.6 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
4.5 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
13. Income tax recoverable |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Cash and Cash Equivalents |
From CFS |
36.9 |
72.8 |
90.2 |
45.0 |
105.2 |
|
|
63.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current Assets |
|
221.5 |
461.1 |
414.9 |
386.0 |
581.7 |
|
|
690.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Assets |
|
9,932.5 |
10,636.9 |
10,422.3 |
10,390.4 |
10,531.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equities and Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Stated capital |
|
5,509.3 |
5,509.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
6,009.3 |
2. Reserves |
-3,896.5 |
1,004.9 |
1,004.9 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
1,231.0 |
Retained Earnings |
|
-2,394.8 |
-3,274.4 |
-3,896.5 |
-4,039.1 |
-4,121.2 |
|
|
-3,798.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares Pendinq Allotment |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Equity attributable to equity holders of parent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. Non-controlling interest |
|
4.8 |
-5.0 |
-21.8 |
-25.7 |
-28.8 |
-35.4 |
-35.4 |
-30.1 |
-35.4 |
-35.4 |
-35.4 |
-35.4 |
-35.4 |
-35.4 |
-35.4 |
-35.4 |
-35.4 |
Total Equity |
|
4,124.1 |
3,876.1 |
3,321.9 |
3,175.4 |
3,090.2 |
|
|
3,412.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long Term Debt |
From OA 3 |
3,501.9 |
4,122.1 |
3,116.5 |
2,954.3 |
4,471.6 |
|
|
3,323.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financing and Lease Payables |
From OA 4 |
33.3 |
25.8 |
26.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
27.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Post-Employment Benefit Liability |
|
51.0 |
36.0 |
39.8 |
41.0 |
45.4 |
57.2 |
57.2 |
53.5 |
57.2 |
57.2 |
57.2 |
57.2 |
57.2 |
57.2 |
57.2 |
57.2 |
57.2 |
Deferred Tax liability |
|
251.6 |
370.3 |
749.5 |
749.5 |
749.5 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
730.8 |
Inter Company Loans |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
543.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Non Current Liabilities |
|
3,833.5 |
4,550.0 |
3,927.8 |
3,744.7 |
5,266.4 |
|
|
4,672.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current Maturities of Long Term Debt |
Added to LT debt in the forecast |
546.3 |
546.3 |
868.2 |
2,957.6 |
1,676.2 |
|
|
665.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trade Payables |
From OA 2.4 |
201.0 |
287.7 |
388.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
526.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13. Amounts due to related parties |
|
nan |
nan |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
nan |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Income Tax Liabilities |
From OA 6 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Accruals |
From OA 2.5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
458.0 |
445.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Bank Overdraft |
|
1,223.2 |
1,214.6 |
1,911.6 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1,444.8 |
1,444.8 |
1,312.7 |
1,444.8 |
1,444.8 |
1,444.8 |
1,444.8 |
1,444.8 |
1,444.8 |
1,444.8 |
1,444.8 |
1,444.8 |
Current Liabilities |
|
1,975.0 |
2,210.8 |
3,172.5 |
3,873.7 |
2,567.1 |
|
|
2,507.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Equity and Liabilities |
|
9,932.5 |
10,636.9 |
10,422.3 |
10,793.8 |
10,923.6 |
|
|
10,592.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Enterprise Value
Weighted Average Costs of Capital (WACC)
|
Notes |
Price to Earnings |
Price to Book Value |
Price to Sales |
1. Earnings/Book Value/Sales |
|
|
3,412.1 |
|
|
2. Adjusted Multiple |
|
|
|
|
3. Valuation (Rs. Millions) |
1*2=3 |
|
|
|
|
4. Number of Shares (Millions) |
|
6.0 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
|
5. Price per Share(Rs.) |
|
|
|
|
|
Date |
Research Organisation |
Recommendation |
Target Price (Rs.) |
0 |
58.407112999999995 |
0 |
0 |
|
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