|
Fixed Assets - Cost |
|
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24E |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
1 |
Balance B/F |
|
5,290.1 |
5,205.1 |
5,266.5 |
0.0 |
5,993.1 |
6,084.3 |
6,161.1 |
|
5,993.1 |
|
|
|
|
6,582.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Capital Expenditure |
|
16.5 |
91.4 |
503.6 |
0.0 |
91.3 |
76.7 |
222 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance C/F |
|
5,205.1 |
5,266.5 |
5,993.1 |
0.0 |
6,084.3 |
6,161.1 |
|
|
6,582.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.1 |
Depreciation |
|
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
|
Balance B/F |
|
1,742.6 |
1,779.7 |
1,863.5 |
0.0 |
1,927.8 |
1,974.2 |
2,023.2 |
|
1,927.8 |
|
|
|
|
1,996.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Depreciation charge |
|
174.5 |
153.7 |
163.4 |
0.0 |
45.8 |
48.0 |
|
|
198.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- As a % of sales |
|
21.5% |
8.5% |
4.6% | nan% |
4.9% |
4.3% |
|
|
4.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance C/F |
|
1,779.7 |
1,863.5 |
1,927.8 |
0.0 |
1,974.2 |
2,023.2 |
111 |
111 |
1,996.6 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
111 |
|
Net Book Value at end |
|
3,425.3 |
3,403.0 |
4,065.3 |
0.0 |
4,110.1 |
4,137.9 |
|
|
4,586.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income Statement |
Notes |
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
1Q24 |
2Q24 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
Combined Revenue |
|
811.0 |
1,817.2 |
3,569.0 |
932.8 |
1,107.0 |
|
|
4,461.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
COGS |
|
664.9 |
1,074.7 |
2,122.7 |
570.9 |
592.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross Profit |
|
146.1 |
742.5 |
1,446.3 |
361.9 |
514.7 |
|
|
2,027.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Administration Exp. |
|
609.6 |
401.2 |
644.0 |
175.5 |
195.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Selling & Distribution Exp. |
|
45.4 |
80.9 |
143.6 |
50.7 |
58.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Depreciation |
|
174.5 |
153.7 |
163.4 |
45.8 |
48.0 |
|
|
198.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. Amortisation |
|
|
|
|
|
Other Operating Expenses |
|
-136.3 |
-179.1 |
-404.1 |
-148.8 |
-138.7 |
|
|
nan |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Income |
|
-816.0 |
-42.0 |
92.2 |
-57.5 |
78.2 |
|
|
303.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest Expenses |
|
24.2 |
122.2 |
202.4 |
|
|
|
|
183.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest Income |
|
3.7 |
1.9 |
3.8 |
14.5 |
1.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (Expenses)/Income |
|
-109.5 |
167.2 |
214.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
nan |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit Before Tax |
|
-946.0 |
4.9 |
107.9 |
-98.4 |
21.1 |
|
|
234.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax Expenses |
|
13.6 |
13.9 |
15.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit After Tax |
|
-818.7 |
4.1 |
-97.5 |
-70.5 |
12.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
nan |
|
|
|
|
|
Net Income |
|
-818.7 |
4.1 |
-97.5 |
-70.5 |
12.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow Statement |
Forecast Ref. |
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
1Q24 |
2Q24 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
Profit Before Tax |
From IS |
-946.0 |
4.9 |
107.9 |
-98.4 |
21.1 |
|
|
234.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Depreciation |
From OA 1.1 |
174.5 |
153.7 |
163.4 |
45.8 |
48.0 |
|
|
198.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in Working Capital |
From OA 2 |
138.5 |
-87.9 |
-80.1 |
19.2 |
29.5 |
|
|
-214.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income Tax Paid |
From OA 5 |
27.4 |
19.7 |
19.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
419.4 |
-127.0 |
-94.6 |
-78.0 |
14.8 |
|
|
-126.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Cash Flow from / (used in) Operating Activities
|
|
-228.3 |
-63.3 |
90.3 |
-108.2 |
116.6 |
|
|
104.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital Expenditure |
From CA 4 |
16.5 |
91.4 |
503.6 |
91.3 |
76.7 |
|
|
337.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
6.5 |
2.9 |
5.1 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
|
|
16.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flows from Investing Activities |
|
-10.0 |
-88.5 |
-498.5 |
-89.7 |
-75.2 |
|
|
-321.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings |
|
25.0 |
0.0 |
48.0 |
261.0 |
33.0 |
|
|
344.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt Repayments |
|
12.5 |
91.7 |
91.7 |
16.4 |
17.2 |
|
|
88.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. Lease Additions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lease Repayments |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Cash flows from / (used in) Financing Activities
|
|
12.5 |
-69.9 |
-43.7 |
244.6< |
15.8 |
|
|
255.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Increase/(Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents |
|
-225.8 |
-221.7 |
-451.9 |
46.7 |
57.1 |
|
|
38.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance adjustments as per company |
|
262.1 |
468.3 |
932.7 |
889.5 |
900.2 |
|
|
870.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and CE at Start
|
|
34.5 |
-191.3 |
-410.7 |
-862.6 |
-866.5 |
|
4Q |
-862.6 |
|
|
|
|
-824.4 |
|
|
|
|
Cash and CE at End
|
|
-191.3 |
-413.0 |
-862.6 |
-815.9 |
|
|
|
-824.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance Sheet |
Notes |
FY21 |
FY22 |
FY23 |
1Q24 |
2Q24 |
3Q24E |
4Q24E |
FY24 |
1Q25E |
2Q25E |
3Q25E |
4Q25E |
FY25E |
FY26E |
FY27E |
FY28E |
FY29E |
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Plant and Equipment - Net Book value |
From OA 1 |
3,425.3 |
3,403.0 |
4,065.3 |
4,110.1 |
4,137.9 |
|
|
4,586.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. Right-of-use assets |
|
2.0 |
2.1 |
6.4 |
4.2 |
6.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
3. Intangible assets |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4. Investment in an associate |
|
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
5. Other financial assets |
|
731.8 |
719.4 |
707.0 |
703.9 |
700.8 |
691.5 |
nan |
694.6 |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
6. Deferred income tax assets |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Other |
|
2,778.1 |
2,947.7 |
3,161.9 |
3,157.3 |
3,161.6 |
3,254.9 |
3,254.9 |
3,255.5 |
3,254.9 |
3,254.9 |
3,254.9 |
3,254.9 |
3,254.9 |
3,254.9 |
3,254.9 |
3,254.9 |
3,254.9 |
Non Current Assets |
|
6,937.9 |
7,072.7 |
7,941.0 |
7,976.3 |
8,007.9 |
|
|
8,544.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Inventories |
From OA 2.2 |
36.5 |
69.0 |
150.2 |
145.8 |
123.4 |
|
|
119.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trade and Other Receivables |
From OA 2.1 |
63.6 |
195.6 |
325.2 |
293.6 |
310.6 |
|
|
633.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prepayments |
From OA 2.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
63.4 |
162.8 |
170.4 |
nan |
142.9 |
136.9 |
136.9 |
152.3 |
136.9 |
136.9 |
136.9 |
136.9 |
136.9 |
136.9 |
136.9 |
136.9 |
136.9 |
12. Other financial assets |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
13. Income tax recoverable |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Cash and Cash Equivalents |
From CFS |
70.8 |
55.3 |
70.1 |
73.6 |
90.8 |
|
|
46.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current Assets |
|
234.4 |
482.7 |
715.8 |
nan |
667.8 |
|
|
951.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Assets |
|
7,172.3 |
7,555.3 |
8,656.8 |
nan |
8,675.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equities and Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Stated capital |
|
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
1,112.9 |
2. Reserves |
3,173.6 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Retained Earnings |
|
3,218.0 |
3,252.2 |
3,173.6 |
3,109.4 |
3,128.5 |
|
|
3,343.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
1,513.3 |
1,524.5 |
1,655.7 |
1650.0 |
1,644.3 |
1,900.0 |
1,900.0 |
1,906.2 |
1,900.0 |
1,900.0 |
1,900.0 |
1,900.0 |
1,900.0 |
1,900.0 |
1,900.0 |
1,900.0 |
1,900.0 |
Equity attributable to equity holders of parent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. Non-controlling interest |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Total Equity |
|
5,844.1 |
5,889.6 |
5,942.2 |
5,872.3 |
5,885.8 |
|
|
6,362.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long Term Debt |
From OA 3 |
40.0 |
57.2 |
121.5 |
75.7 |
39.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financing and Lease Payables |
From OA 4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employees benefits |
|
146.0 |
132.8 |
127.0 |
122.9 |
126.5 |
733.4 |
733.4 |
188.9 |
733.4 |
733.4 |
733.4 |
733.4 |
733.4 |
733.4 |
733.4 |
733.4 |
733.4 |
Deferred tax liabilities |
|
247.5 |
241.0 |
606.0 |
578.1 |
586.3 |
189.4 |
189.4 |
771.9 |
189.4 |
189.4 |
189.4 |
189.4 |
189.4 |
189.4 |
189.4 |
189.4 |
189.4 |
0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Non Current Liabilities |
|
433.6 |
431.0 |
854.4 |
776.7 |
752.6 |
|
|
960.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current Maturities of Long Term Debt |
Added to LT debt in the forecast |
177.5 |
177.5 |
92.5 |
369.2 |
430.3 |
|
|
454.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trade Payables |
From OA 2.4 |
310.5 |
383.5 |
514.6 |
487.0 |
488.1 |
|
|
569.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13. Amounts due to related parties |
|
nan |
nan |
nan |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
nan |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Income Tax Liabilities |
From OA 6 |
30.7 |
24.9 |
21.5 |
21.5 |
21.5 |
|
|
25.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Accruals |
From OA 2.5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
113.8 |
178.7 |
299.0 |
278.8 |
194.0 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
252.4 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
Bank Overdraft |
|
262.1 |
468.3 |
932.7 |
895.0 |
903.5 |
959.2 |
nan |
870.7 |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
nan |
Current Liabilities |
|
894.6 |
1,234.8 |
1,860.2 |
2,051.4 |
2,037.3 |
|
|
2,172.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Equity and Liabilities |
|
7,172.3 |
7,555.3 |
8,656.8 |
8,700.4 |
8,675.7 |
|
|
9,495.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Enterprise Value
Weighted Average Costs of Capital (WACC)
|
Notes |
Price to Earnings |
Price to Book Value |
Price to Sales |
1. Earnings/Book Value/Sales |
|
|
6,362.2 |
|
|
2. Adjusted Multiple |
|
|
|
|
3. Valuation (Rs. Millions) |
1*2=3 |
|
|
|
|
4. Number of Shares (Millions) |
|
200,000.0 |
200,000.0 |
200,000.0 |
|
5. Price per Share(Rs.) |
|
|
|
|
|
Date |
Research Organisation |
Recommendation |
Target Price (Rs.) |
0 |
719.432 |
0 |
0 |
|
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