Transasia

Valuation

Valuation Rs.Million Price per Share (Rs.) Share Adjusted Valuation
DCF Valuation %
Price to Earnings %
Price to Book Value %
Price to Sales %
EV to EBITDA %
Blended Valuation (Rs.)

Period FY21 FY22 FY23 4Q23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
1 Rooms 38.1 432.6 903.9 1,389.1
YoY -95.4 1036.6 109.0 53.7
2 Food 464.7 993.4 1,948.9 2,248.0
YoY -56.9 113.7 96.2 15.4
3 Beverages 124.4 163.5 319.3 345.9
YoY 4.5 5.9 73.5 4.7
4 Food & beverage others 54.9 58.1 100.9 105.6
YoY 0 1.4 0.7 -28.0
5 Investment property Income 65.0 66.0 66.4 47.8
YoY -63.2 62.7 121.5 41.7
Period FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
1 COGS 664.9 1,074.7 2,122.7 2,434.4
- As a % of sales 60.5% 50.7% 54.9% 50.1%
2 Administration 609.6 401.2 644.0 804.0
- As a % of sales 96.6% 30.5% 22.6% 22.5%
3 Selling & Distribution 45.4 80.9 143.6 217.2
- As a % of sales 4.1% 3.8% 3.7% 4.6%
4 Capital Expenditure 16.5 91.4 503.6 337.8
- As a % of sales 2.0% 5.0% 14.1% 7.6%


Fixed Assets - Cost FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24E 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
1 Balance B/F 5,290.1 5,205.1 5,266.5 5,993.1 6,582.7
Capital Expenditure 16.5 91.4 503.6
Balance C/F 5,205.1 5,266.5 5,993.1 6,582.7
1.1 Depreciation FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Balance B/F 1,742.6 1,779.7 1,863.5 1,927.8 1,996.6
Depreciation charge 174.5 153.7 163.4 198.7
- As a % of sales 21.5% 8.5% 4.6% 4.5%
Balance C/F 1,779.7 1,863.5 1,927.8 1,996.6 111 111 111 111 111
Net Book Value at end 3,425.3 3,403.0 4,065.3 4,586.1
2 Working Capital
Period FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
2.1 Accounts and notes receivables 63.6 195.6 325.2 633.3
- As a % of sales 7.8 10.8 9.1 14.2
Four Qtr Cum. Revenue
Four Qtr Cum. COGS
2.2 Inventories 36.5 69.0 150.2 119.8
- As a % of COGS 5.5 6.4 7.1 4.9
2.3 Prepayments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
- As a % of sales 0 0 0 0
2.4 Accounts payable 310.5 383.5 514.6 569.4
- As a % of COGS 46.7 35.7 24.2 23.4
2.5 Other 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
- As a % of COGS 0.0 0.0 0.0
Working Capital
Change in Working Capital -214.1
3 Interest Bearing Debt FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Opening balance 186.6 217.5 236.5 0.0
Issuance of debt 25.0 0.0 48.0 344.0
Repayment of debt 12.5 69.9 91.7 88.9
Closing balance 217.5 236.5 214.0 454.7
Adjustments 18.5 89.0 21.2
Interest Expenses 8.4 10.3 28.9 66.1
Average Interest rate (%) 418.0 454.0 1284.5 % % 1976.0 % % % % % % % % %
4 Leases FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Lease - Opening balance 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Additions 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Payments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Closing balance 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjustments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lease Interest expenses 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Average Interest rate (%) 0 0 0 % % 0 % % % % % % % % %
5 Interest Income FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
i. Cash & CE Balance C/F 55.3 70.1 46.3
ii. Interest Income 3.7 1.9 3.8 18.5
Average Interest Income Rate 5.3 3.4 5.4 % % 40.0 % % % % % % % % %
6 Tax FY21 FY22 FY23 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Profit Before Tax -946.0 4.9 107.9 234.0
Opening balance 49.3 30.7 24.9
Current Income Tax 13.6 13.9 15.5 4.2
Taxes paid 27.4 19.7 19.0 0.0 4.2
Closing balance 30.7 24.9 21.5 25.6
Effective Tax Rate (%) 0 0 0 % % % % % % % % % % %


Income Statement Notes FY21 FY22 FY23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Combined Revenue 811.0 1,817.2 3,569.0 4,461.8
COGS 664.9 1,074.7 2,122.7
Gross Profit 146.1 742.5 1,446.3 2,027.4
Administration Exp. 609.6 401.2 644.0
Selling & Distribution Exp. 45.4 80.9 143.6
Depreciation 174.5 153.7 163.4 198.7
7. Amortisation
Other Operating Expenses -136.3 -179.1 -404.1 nan
Operating Income -816.0 -42.0 92.2 303.8
Interest Expenses 24.2 122.2 202.4 183.4
Interest Income 3.7 1.9 3.8
Other (Expenses)/Income -109.5 167.2 214.3 nan
Profit Before Tax -946.0 4.9 107.9 234.0
Tax Expenses 13.6 13.9 15.5
Profit After Tax -818.7 4.1 -97.5
Other 0.0 0.0 0.0 nan
Net Income -818.7 4.1 -97.5
Cash Flow Statement Forecast Ref. FY21 FY22 FY23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Profit Before Tax From IS -946.0 4.9 107.9 234.0
Depreciation From OA 1.1 174.5 153.7 163.4 198.7
Change in Working Capital From OA 2 138.5 -87.9 -80.1 -214.1
Income Tax Paid From OA 5 27.4 19.7 19.0 0.0
Other 419.4 -127.0 -94.6 -126.4
Net Cash Flow from / (used in) Operating Activities -228.3 -63.3 90.3 104.9
Capital Expenditure From CA 4 16.5 91.4 503.6 337.8
Other 6.5 2.9 5.1 16.1
Cash Flows from Investing Activities -10.0 -88.5 -498.5 -321.8
Borrowings 25.0 0.0 48.0 344.0
Debt Repayments 12.5 91.7 91.7 88.9
10. Lease Additions
Lease Repayments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Cash flows from / (used in) Financing Activities 12.5 -69.9 -43.7 255.1
Other 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Increase/(Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents -225.8 -221.7 -451.9 38.2
Balance adjustments as per company 262.1 468.3 932.7 870.7
Cash and CE at Start 34.5 -191.3 -410.7 -862.6 -824.4
Cash and CE at End -191.3 -413.0 -862.6 -824.4
Balance Sheet Notes FY21 FY22 FY23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
Assets
Property Plant and Equipment - Net Book value From OA 1 3,425.3 3,403.0 4,065.3 4,586.1
2. Right-of-use assets 2.0 2.1 6.4 6.3 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9
3. Intangible assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4. Investment in an associate 0.7 0.4 0.4 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
5. Other financial assets 731.8 719.4 707.0 694.6 nan nan nan nan nan
6. Deferred income tax assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other 2,778.1 2,947.7 3,161.9 3,255.5 3,254.9 3,254.9 3,254.9 3,254.9 3,254.9
Non Current Assets 6,937.9 7,072.7 7,941.0 8,544.0
Inventories From OA 2.2 36.5 69.0 150.2 119.8
Trade and Other Receivables From OA 2.1 63.6 195.6 325.2 633.3
Prepayments From OA 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other 63.4 162.8 170.4 152.3 136.9 136.9 136.9 136.9 136.9
12. Other financial assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13. Income tax recoverable 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents From CFS 70.8 55.3 70.1 46.3
Current Assets 234.4 482.7 715.8 951.7
Total Assets 7,172.3 7,555.3 8,656.8
Equities and Liabilities
1. Stated capital 1,112.9 1,112.9 1,112.9 1,112.9 1,112.9 1,112.9 1,112.9 1,112.9 1,112.9
2. Reserves 3,173.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Retained Earnings 3,218.0 3,252.2 3,173.6 3,343.1
Other 1,513.3 1,524.5 1,655.7 1,906.2 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0
Equity attributable to equity holders of parent
5. Non-controlling interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Equity 5,844.1 5,889.6 5,942.2 6,362.2
Long Term Debt From OA 3 40.0 57.2 121.5 0.0
Financing and Lease Payables From OA 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Employees benefits 146.0 132.8 127.0 188.9 733.4 733.4 733.4 733.4 733.4
Deferred tax liabilities 247.5 241.0 606.0 771.9 189.4 189.4 189.4 189.4 189.4
0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Non Current Liabilities 433.6 431.0 854.4 960.7
Current Maturities of Long Term Debt Added to LT debt in the forecast 177.5 177.5 92.5 454.7
Trade Payables From OA 2.4 310.5 383.5 514.6 569.4
13. Amounts due to related parties nan nan nan nan 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Income Tax Liabilities From OA 6 30.7 24.9 21.5 25.6
Other Accruals From OA 2.5 0 0 0 0 0
Other 113.8 178.7 299.0 252.4 283.0 283.0 283.0 283.0 283.0
Bank Overdraft 262.1 468.3 932.7 870.7 nan nan nan nan nan
Current Liabilities 894.6 1,234.8 1,860.2 2,172.9
Total Equity and Liabilities 7,172.3 7,555.3 8,656.8 9,495.7

DCF Enterprise Value

Period Notes 3Q24E 4Q24E FY24E 1Q25E 2Q25E 3Q25E 4Q25E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E
1. EBIT From FF 6
2. Tax From OA 4
3. Depreciation From OA 1
4. Adjustments User Input
5. Capital Expenditure From CA 4
6. Changes in Working Capital From OA 2
7. Free Cash Flow
8. Terminal Value
9. Total Free Cash Flow
10. Discount factor Calculation
11. Present Value of Free Cash Flows 7*10=11
12. DCF Enterprise Value
13. Net (Debt)/Cash -1,325.4
14. Pension Underfunding From BS
15. Other User input cell
14. Adjustment User Input
15. DCF Valuation - Equity Value
16. Number of Shares 200,000.0
17. Price per Share (Rs.)

Weighted Average Costs of Capital (WACC)

Symbol User Input Reference Source for Reference
1. Risk Free Rate Rf % 18.8% SL 10yr bond yield
2. Long term cost of debt Kd % 25.0% Weighted avg. int. rate
3. Equity risk premium Rp % 10.0% External Source
4. Beta B % 125.0% CSE
5.Tax Rate t % 30.0% SL tax rate
6. Debt Weighting Wd % 50.0%
7. Equity Weighting We % 50.0%
8. Cost of Equity Ke 1+(3*4)=8 25.0%
9. WACC Dr (6*(2*(1-5)))+(7*8)=9 21.0%
10. Terminal Growth Rate % 5.0%
Notes Price to Earnings Price to Book Value Price to Sales
1. Earnings/Book Value/Sales 6,362.2
2. Adjusted Multiple
3. Valuation (Rs. Millions) 1*2=3
4. Number of Shares (Millions) 200,000.0 200,000.0 200,000.0
5. Price per Share(Rs.)
>
Peer Multiples Notes Price to Earnings Price to Book Value Price to Sales
Average
Adjustment
Adjusted Multiple
Date Research Organisation Recommendation Target Price (Rs.)
0 719.432 0 0

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